MOS - The Mosaic Company 0 WATCHERS

!ALL THESE TICKERS SHOULD BE APPROACHED AS HIGH RISK! DFLI, FEMY, PLBY, IGC, IVDA, MBOT, ONL, PW, ATAI (Long pennystock holds) ADT, NOK, GWSR, WSR, KVUE, RVIN, KDP, MFG, TRIN, MOS (Long High growth positons) NDAQ, BROS, AHR, RPRX (Long High value positons) WU, BTLCY (Selling high, buying low) GLHF, …

Just picked up MOS which might be the most boring stock of all time…

Gartner (IT). Beaten down by ai fears, but they are pushing back against that narrative. Basically they are an asset-light, recurring-revenue picks & shovels business on global IT and trasformation spending, with strong pricing power. They alao have a fairly aggressive stock buyback ongoing. Most revenue is recurring subscription from …

I'm taking a different perspective with Adobe. Smaller businesses, individual customers, and freelancers will probably peel off to cheaper AI alternatives because the pricing has gotten too high. Mid-sized and large companies are a different story. There are structural reasons for that. If a corporation works with an outside branding …

It is reasonably valued, but I don't think it is a no-brainer. The era of >15% annual revenue growth may be over which explains why the stock has sold off considerably. I personally want a larger MOS. As far as the business's quality. Adobe's file formats (.psd, .ai, .indd) are …

My thoughts: 1. Trim Google. I have them priced at about 40x owners earnings (52x FCF). Companies very rarely justify that valuation. However, Google is one of the best businesses in the world, so I would still want exposure. 2. Hold Amazon. I think it is reasonably priced and a …

NVIDIA was actually down to $170 today which according to Morningstar is good enough for a 30% MOS

Excellent time line growth, improving gross and operating margins. I think their long term net margins/fcf margins should be about 20-25% which would imply a valuation or about 18-23x. I'm primarily a coffee drinker, but I liked the product when I tried it. People <30 are increasingly health conscious so …

I am totally fine buying in scenarios one, three, or four. In 1 you are pretty sure you are not overpaying but lack a margin of safety. For a very good company I wouldn’t feel bad doing that. For 3 and 4 I am ideally buying with a significant MOS. …