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Main point: concentration works if you size it right and pre‑write your sell rules. I hold AAPL and AXP, skip BAC because I don’t want that much rate/credit cyclicality. My rules: cap any single name at 12–15%, rebalance on a ±25% drift, and pre‑plan trims if two key metrics break …
Tesla valuation is based on expectations of robotaxi and Optimus. People are investing in Tesla based on future growth, not SBC that happened 5 years ago. Over the TTM share count went up .83% In 2024 share count went up .37% In 2023 Share count went up .29% In 2022 …
Michael Burry Calls Out Tesla Stating They Are "Ridiculously Overvalued" “Big Short” investor Michael Burry criticized Tesla in his latest Substack newsletter, calling the electric-vehicle maker “ridiculously overvalued” and pointing to years of shareholder dilution as a central concern. Burry argued that Tesla’s valuation remains disconnected from its fundamentals and …
On Uber: Addressing Insurance Reserves Under Dara, UBER has reached an inflection point. Here I take a look at a recent bear argument regarding Uber's insurance reserves and 'inflated' FCF. Financial statements can be noisy and complicated, especially for businesses that engage in insurance, but if you strip remove the …
Stock-based, non-cash compensation is a real cost to shareholders. As has been pointed out, this company is diluting shareholders at almost 2% a year and reported earnings are higher than they would be otherwise. This does not mean never invest in SBC companies, but you need to be aware of …
>19x forward PE As often is the case, this is adjusted with the stock based compensation. This company pays more than half of their GAAP net income as stock based compensation ($55m SBC and net income is $85m), if you remove this adjustment (because that is a real cost of …
Burry is crying like a baby lately. I ve read what he wrote about depreciation and SBC. SBC was completely stupid and I was suprised that he has this low level, everytime think that he just had a lucky shot.
With Paypal you need to actually go by market cap to gauge its cheapness because of their buybacks. The last time it was cheaper than this was in June 2017 when it was $50 a share. Its now at $62 a share but under $60 billion market cap. The risk …
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Total Off-Exchange Volume: 18368
Values over 50% Short often indicate hidden bearish pressure from institutions.
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Institutional Holdings (Whales)
| Institution | Shares | Value | % Held | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackrock Inc. | 271,776 | $970240 | 0.0026% | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 190,379 | $679653 | 0.0019% | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Vanguard Group Inc | 81,100 | $289526 | 0.0008% | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Northern Trust Corporation | 58,861 | $210133 | 0.0006% | Sep 30, 2025 |
| SBI Securities Co., Ltd. | 52,469 | $187314 | 0.0005% | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Millennium Management Llc | 50,461 | $180145 | 0.0005% | Sep 30, 2025 |
| State Street Corporation | 31,039 | $110809 | 0.0003% | Sep 30, 2025 |
| AQR Capital Management, LLC | 18,174 | $64881 | 0.0002% | Sep 30, 2025 |
| New York State Common Retirement Fund | 17,000 | $60689 | 0.0002% | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc. | 14,267 | $50933 | 0.0001% | Sep 30, 2025 |

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